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Red75
329324.2
216930.7
250916.3
Blue85
851625.3
250318.9
250236.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75812040601001201401607585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#16
30.70.3
31.431.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End11.9
blue by 5.9
36.60.1
35.135.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.7
End10.6
Second
3293
#19
24.20.3
23.824.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End7.1
blue by 1.1
8516
#13
25.30.1
22.422.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End8.5
Third
2509
#35
16.30.3
15.916.1
Auto8.2
Teleop3.6
End4.6
blue by 2.6
2503
#31
18.90.1
18.218.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned