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Red80
591338.7
565319.9
282330.7
Blue100
517248.4
222022.8
249123.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810005015020080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#18
38.71.3
37.636.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End6.2
blue by 9.7
48.40.4
47.447.8
Auto12.3
Teleop29.8
End6.3
Second
30.71.3
31.630.2
Auto8.9
Teleop14.1
End7.7
red by 7.6
2491
#26
23.10.4
24.424.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End10.4
Third
5653
#36
19.91.3
22.821.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End7.9
blue by 2.9
22.80.4
22.022.4
Auto6.5
Teleop7.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned