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Red131
318436.8
205244.5
517248.4
Blue78
400925.9
472830.2
250318.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516905010020013178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.0
47.847.7
Auto12.3
Teleop29.8
End6.3
red by 18.2
4728
#15
30.20.2
31.832.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End11.3
Second
44.50.0
46.246.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.6
End10.6
red by 18.6
4009
#12
25.90.2
24.925.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Third
36.80.0
37.437.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.7
red by 17.9
2503
#31
18.90.2
18.218.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned