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Red49
591416.8
565319.9
249123.1
Blue79
645317.6
320623.7
301829.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6774204060801001204979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#26
23.12.1
24.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End10.4
blue by 6.2
3018
#20
29.30.7
29.229.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End8.9
Second
5653
#36
19.92.1
21.519.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End7.9
blue by 3.8
3206
#32DQ
23.70.7
21.722.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End4.9
Third
5914
#33
16.82.1
17.615.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.5
End7.1
blue by 0.8
6453
#27
17.60.7
18.018.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned