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Red58
400925.9
222022.8
645317.6
Blue57
253125.0
674917.7
308222.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686401002003004005005857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#12
25.90.4
25.325.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End6.9
red by 0.9
2531
#21
25.00.3
26.125.8
Auto7.4
Teleop4.2
End13.3
Second
22.80.4
20.320.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.0
End9.3
red by 0.1
22.70.3
18.117.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.2
End8.4
Third
6453
#27
17.60.4
17.617.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End8.0
blue by 0.1
6749
#30
17.70.3
16.716.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned