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Red85
216930.7
181624.6
320623.7
Blue123
329324.2
288333.6
591338.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8197406012014085123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#16
30.70.5
30.531.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End11.9
blue by 8.0
5913
#18
38.72.0
36.538.5
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End6.2
Second
1816
#29
24.60.5
25.926.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End9.9
blue by 9.0
2883
#23
33.62.0
33.435.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End7.5
Third
3206
#32
23.70.5
21.622.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End4.9
blue by 0.5
3293
#19
24.22.9
19.422.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned