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Red112
198744.3
452243.0
580912.0
Blue91
193930.2
501336.6
445514.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088305015020011291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.2
43.944.2
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 7.6
36.60.2
36.636.8
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
Second
43.00.2
42.742.9
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
red by 12.9
1939
#11
30.20.2
30.130.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Third
5809
#23
12.00.2
11.711.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 2.7
4455
#21
14.70.2
14.614.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3