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Red104
198744.3
452243.0
580912.0
Blue79
193930.2
501336.6
445514.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098405015020010479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.1
44.244.3
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 7.6
36.60.2
36.836.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
Second
43.00.1
42.943.0
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
red by 12.9
1939
#11
30.20.2
30.330.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Third
5809
#23
12.00.1
11.912.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 2.7
4455
#21
14.70.2
14.814.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3