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Red36
178516.0
54379.7
328418.7
Blue51
181017.7
580132.0
76628.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4060020801003651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#14
18.70.3
17.617.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
blue by 13.3
32.00.7
26.125.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End13.3
Second
1785
#17
16.00.3
11.711.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
blue by 1.7
1810
#15
17.70.7
22.421.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
Third
5437
#22
9.70.4
10.610.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 0.8
7662
#24
8.81.2
5.13.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned