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Qual 112022 Central Missouri Regional
Red90
198744.3
445514.7
476621.3
Blue87
110826.8
596818.6
318434.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736640506080901001109087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#2
44.31.2
38.4→39.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 10.2
3184
#5
34.11.6
29.8→31.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End13.4
Second
4766
#3
21.31.2
20.3→21.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
blue by 5.6
1108
#8
26.81.6
23.4→25.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
4455
#21
14.72.0
9.0→11.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3
blue by 3.9
5968
#16
18.62.6
10.0→12.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned