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Red123
501336.6
176926.1
512620.4
Blue56
642421.2
199720.1
193930.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7769406010012012356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.9
32.935.8
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
red by 6.5
1939
#11
30.20.7
25.524.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Second
1769
#13
26.12.9
24.527.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End5.7
red by 4.8
6424
#18
21.20.7
21.020.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Third
20.42.9
14.217.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End7.9
red by 0.3
1997
#12
20.10.7
19.418.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned