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Red92
235723.8
501336.6
681716.6
Blue41
199720.1
178516.0
445514.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664102060801009241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.2
30.732.9
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
red by 16.5
1997
#12
20.10.1
19.519.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End10.5
Second
23.82.2
19.321.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.9
End7.8
red by 7.8
1785
#17
16.00.1
11.411.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
Third
6817
#19
16.63.7
8.812.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 1.9
4455
#21
14.70.1
11.010.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned