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Red101
680517.6
580132.0
198744.3
Blue64
642421.2
512620.4
110826.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896520408010012014010164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.1
39.340.4
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 17.4
26.80.0
26.626.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Second
32.01.1
26.527.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End13.3
red by 10.8
6424
#18
21.20.0
20.320.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Third
6805
#10
17.61.1
14.615.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.1
blue by 2.8
20.40.0
17.117.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned