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Red83
681716.6
328418.7
452243.0
Blue80
193930.2
318434.1
172311.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7671506080901001108380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.8
40.641.4
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
red by 9.0
34.10.8
31.131.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End13.4
Second
3284
#14
18.70.8
17.818.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
blue by 11.4
1939
#11
30.20.8
24.925.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Third
6817
#19
16.61.4
12.513.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 5.4
1723
#20
11.20.8
11.512.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned