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Red83
501336.6
181017.7
580912.0
Blue52
445514.7
54379.7
235723.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8041020601001201401608352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.3
35.836.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
red by 12.8
23.80.3
21.521.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.9
End7.8
Second
1810
#15
17.70.3
21.421.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
red by 3.1
4455
#21
14.70.5
10.911.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
5809
#23
12.00.6
12.813.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.7
red by 2.3
5437
#22
9.70.5
10.711.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned