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Red102
110826.8
178516.0
452243.0
Blue74
512620.4
328418.7
681716.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914702040608010012014010274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.5
41.442.9
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
red by 22.6
20.41.6
17.118.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End7.9
Second
26.81.5
26.628.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.6
red by 8.1
3284
#14
18.71.6
18.620.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
Third
1785
#17
16.01.5
11.513.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
blue by 0.6
6817
#19
16.62.7
13.816.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsEarned