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Red40
681716.6
181017.7
476621.3
Blue73
501336.6
318434.1
512620.4
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59972040801201401601804073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.6
22.520.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
blue by 15.4
36.60.9
36.035.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
Second
1810
#15
17.71.6
21.319.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
blue by 16.3
34.10.9
31.530.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End13.4
Third
6817
#19
16.62.7
16.513.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 3.8
20.40.9
18.717.8
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned