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Red112
198744.3
193930.2
176926.1
Blue66
328418.7
445514.7
580912.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1113805010015011266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.2
41.642.8
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 25.5
3284
#14
18.71.4
20.221.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
Second
1939
#11
30.21.2
25.526.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
red by 15.5
4455
#21
14.72.3
10.813.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
1769
#13
26.11.2
27.528.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.2
End5.7
red by 14.1
5809
#23
12.02.3
13.916.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed