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Red60
580132.0
172311.2
178516.0
Blue47
76628.8
235723.8
642421.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59492040801006047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.4
27.628.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End13.3
red by 8.2
23.80.0
21.721.7
Auto8.1
Teleop7.9
End7.8
Second
1785
#17
16.00.4
13.013.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
blue by 5.3
6424
#18
21.20.0
20.120.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Third
1723
#20
11.20.4
13.513.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
red by 2.4
7662
#24
8.80.0
5.35.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsMissed