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Red81
596818.6
680517.6
452243.0
Blue64
54379.7
199720.1
110826.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815820401001201408164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.2
42.943.2
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
red by 16.2
26.80.4
28.128.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Second
5968
#16
18.60.4
14.414.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 1.6
1997
#12
20.10.4
18.318.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End10.5
Third
6805
#10
17.60.2
16.116.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.1
red by 7.9
5437
#22
9.70.7
11.011.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned