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Red53
193930.2
681716.6
181017.7
Blue104
198744.3
328418.7
501336.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56114010015053104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#11
30.20.5
26.726.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
blue by 14.1
44.30.3
42.843.1
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
Second
1810
#15
17.70.5
19.719.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
blue by 18.9
36.60.3
35.135.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
Third
6817
#19
16.60.7
13.813.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 2.1
3284
#14
18.70.3
21.621.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsMissed