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Red70
181017.7
452243.0
328418.7
Blue63
235723.8
642421.2
580132.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94714060801001201407063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.3
44.142.8
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
red by 11.0
32.00.7
27.827.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End13.3
Second
3284
#14
18.71.3
21.920.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
blue by 5.1
23.80.7
21.520.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.9
End7.8
Third
1810
#15
17.71.3
19.217.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
blue by 3.5
6424
#18
21.20.7
20.219.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned