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Red50
596818.6
76628.8
501336.6
Blue78
680517.6
110826.8
193930.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587820401001201405078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.5
35.434.9
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
red by 6.5
1939
#11
30.20.5
26.226.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Second
5968
#16
18.60.7
14.914.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 8.3
26.80.5
28.328.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
7662
#24
8.80.7
6.76.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 8.7
6805
#10
17.60.5
16.116.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned