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Red63
178516.0
501336.6
172311.2
Blue85
198744.3
110826.8
328418.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601062040801201401606385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.0
34.935.0
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End8.2
blue by 7.6
44.30.6
44.343.8
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
Second
1785
#17
16.00.0
14.814.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
blue by 10.8
26.80.6
28.828.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
1723
#20
11.20.0
12.612.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 7.5
3284
#14
18.70.6
20.620.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed