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Red104
199720.1
681716.6
318434.1
Blue60
54379.7
193930.2
580132.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7171405060809010011010460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.11.7
32.834.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End13.4
red by 2.0
32.00.5
27.126.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End13.3
Second
1997
#12
20.11.7
19.721.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End10.5
blue by 10.1
1939
#11
30.20.5
26.726.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Third
6817
#19
16.62.3
14.016.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 6.9
5437
#22
9.70.6
13.112.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned