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Red34
181020.2
235717.6
68434.3
Blue68
317917.2
182534.9
271818.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32360102040506070803468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#14
20.20.4
10.410.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End6.0
blue by 14.8
34.93.8
10.414.3
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
Second
2357
#10
17.60.4
9.610.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End4.0
blue by 1.0
2718
#12
18.72.8
13.816.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
Third
6843
#28
4.30.4
10.310.7
Auto1.9
Teleop0.7
End1.7
blue by 12.9
17.23.8
9.313.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned