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Red54
23456.2
198629.5
245710.1
Blue36
19849.6
70647.7
526815.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331020304050605436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.52.2
17.820.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 14.2
5268
#30
15.30.0
12.212.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End6.3
Second
10.11.3
3.44.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End4.6
red by 0.4
1984
#19
9.60.0
10.410.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Third
2345
#29
6.22.2
9.111.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 1.5
7064
#27
7.70.0
9.29.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed