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Red40
495923.2
9377.8
193922.8
Blue75
176921.0
51419.9
580126.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304601020406070804075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
10.811.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
blue by 3.2
26.41.1
21.222.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End9.7
Second
22.80.6
12.012.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
red by 1.8
21.01.5
10.912.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
Third
937
#24
7.80.6
7.88.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 2.1
5141
#17
9.91.5
9.310.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned