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Red55
178510.6
171019.5
811211.0
Blue33
198212.2
180618.8
199717.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233010204050605533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.4
12.914.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 0.7
1806
#13
18.80.2
9.19.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Second
8112
#21
11.01.4
11.09.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
blue by 6.2
1997
#11
17.20.3
10.410.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End6.9
Third
1785
#18
10.61.4
9.510.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 1.6
1982
#22
12.20.3
10.711.1
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed