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Red12
172310.9
50988.4
184711.6
Blue25
72552.8
31727.4
180215.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270204060801001201401225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1847
#25
11.62.0
8.76.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End4.6
blue by 3.7
1802
#15
15.30.2
9.29.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Second
1723
#16
10.92.0
11.99.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
red by 3.5
3172
#20
7.40.2
9.08.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
5098
#23
8.41.2
9.78.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
red by 5.6
7255
#26
2.80.2
8.28.1
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed