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Red12
50988.4
70647.7
23456.2
Blue38
68434.3
271818.7
198212.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274201020506070801238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#23
8.41.3
7.36.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
blue by 10.3
2718
#12
18.70.2
15.915.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
Second
7064
#27
7.72.1
12.910.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 4.5
1982
#22
12.20.4
10.39.9
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
Third
2345
#29
6.22.1
6.84.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End0.7
red by 1.9
6843
#28
4.30.4
11.310.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed