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Red34
178510.6
176921.0
172310.9
Blue29
193922.8
171019.5
199717.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444920304060703429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.9
16.315.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
blue by 1.8
22.81.8
15.413.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
Second
1723
#16
10.90.9
13.112.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
blue by 8.6
19.51.8
18.016.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Third
1785
#18
10.60.9
12.611.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 6.5
1997
#11
17.21.8
12.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed