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Red31
31727.4
9377.8
317917.2
Blue74
198629.5
180215.3
495923.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326302040801003174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.3
16.315.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End9.7
blue by 12.3
29.51.7
26.928.6
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
Second
937
#24
7.80.3
10.610.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 15.4
23.21.7
19.921.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
Third
3172
#20
7.40.3
7.06.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 7.9
1802
#15
15.31.7
8.09.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned