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Red33
181020.2
526815.3
72552.8
Blue77
184711.6
182534.9
180618.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36441020304050607080903377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#14
20.20.2
13.913.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End6.0
blue by 14.8
34.94.1
23.427.4
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
Second
5268
#30
15.30.1
13.513.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End6.3
blue by 3.5
1806
#13
18.82.4
11.413.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Third
7255
#26
2.80.2
7.57.3
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End2.0
blue by 8.8
1847
#25
11.64.1
5.69.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned