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Red51
199717.2
495923.2
70647.7
Blue57
193922.8
31727.4
271818.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473701020306070805157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.9
21.522.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
red by 0.4
22.82.3
13.615.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
Second
1997
#11
17.20.9
10.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End6.9
blue by 1.5
2718
#12
18.71.4
15.717.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
Third
7064
#27
7.70.9
10.811.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 0.3
3172
#20
7.42.3
6.79.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned