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Red75
181020.2
180215.3
182534.9
Blue40
50988.4
9377.8
198629.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55472040801007540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.92.7
27.430.1
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
red by 5.4
29.50.5
28.628.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
Second
1810
#14
20.22.7
13.616.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End6.0
red by 11.8
5098
#23
8.40.3
6.05.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
Third
1802
#15
15.32.7
9.712.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.1
End4.4
red by 7.5
937
#24
7.80.5
10.39.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed