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Red47
172310.9
245710.1
176921.0
Blue58
235717.6
178510.6
198212.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3637202530404550554758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.0
15.416.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
red by 3.4
2357
#10
17.62.1
13.115.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End4.0
Second
1723
#16
10.91.0
12.213.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
blue by 1.3
1982
#22
12.22.1
9.912.1
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
Third
10.10.6
6.67.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End4.6
blue by 0.6
1785
#18
10.62.1
11.713.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned