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Red54
68434.3
180618.8
171019.5
Blue51
580126.4
184711.6
526815.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43502060801005451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.5
16.117.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 6.9
26.40.1
22.722.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End9.7
Second
1806
#13
18.80.9
13.914.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End3.6
red by 3.5
5268
#30
15.30.1
13.413.5
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End6.3
Third
6843
#28
4.31.5
10.912.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.7
End1.7
blue by 7.3
1847
#25
11.60.1
9.79.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned