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Red40
317917.2
811211.0
19849.6
Blue13
23456.2
72552.8
51419.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432301030506070804013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.3
15.916.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End9.7
red by 7.3
5141
#17
9.91.7
12.110.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End4.0
Second
8112
#21
11.00.3
12.012.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
red by 4.8
2345
#29
6.21.7
4.73.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Third
1984
#19
9.60.3
9.49.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 6.8
7255
#26
2.81.7
7.35.6
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed