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Red59
235717.6
245710.1
193922.8
Blue40
9377.8
198212.2
181020.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041203050605940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.7
15.917.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
red by 2.6
1810
#14
20.20.2
16.316.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End6.0
Second
2357
#10
17.61.7
15.216.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End4.0
red by 5.4
1982
#22
12.20.2
12.112.3
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
Third
10.11.1
7.28.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End4.6
red by 2.2
937
#24
7.80.2
9.810.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned