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Red65
19849.6
182534.9
176921.0
Blue35
317917.2
811211.0
184711.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6337020801001206535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.9
30.131.0
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
red by 17.8
17.20.3
16.215.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End9.7
Second
21.00.9
16.417.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
red by 9.4
1847
#25
11.60.3
9.89.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End4.6
Third
1984
#19
9.60.9
9.710.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 1.3
8112
#21
11.00.3
12.312.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned