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Red38
178510.6
271818.7
51419.9
Blue47
70647.7
172310.9
198629.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4259102030507080903847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#12
18.70.5
17.116.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
blue by 10.8
29.50.6
28.127.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
Second
1785
#18
10.60.8
13.913.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 0.3
1723
#16
10.90.6
13.212.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
Third
5141
#17
9.90.8
10.49.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End4.0
red by 2.2
7064
#27
7.70.6
11.711.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed