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Red51
9377.8
580126.4
178510.6
Blue8
31727.4
68434.3
172310.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5331020406080518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.3
23.923.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End9.7
red by 15.5
1723
#16
10.92.3
12.610.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
Second
1785
#18
10.60.4
13.112.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
red by 3.2
3172
#20
7.42.3
10.38.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
937
#24
7.80.4
10.09.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
red by 3.5
6843
#28
4.32.3
9.26.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed