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Red38
526815.3
171019.5
72552.8
Blue58
271818.7
23456.2
181020.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840203050603858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
18.918.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 0.7
1810
#14
20.21.2
16.517.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End6.0
Second
5268
#30
15.30.1
14.714.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End6.3
blue by 3.4
2718
#12
18.70.8
16.617.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
Third
7255
#26
2.80.2
2.52.3
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End2.0
blue by 3.4
2345
#29
6.21.2
4.35.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed