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Red40
199717.2
181020.2
31727.4
Blue59
580126.4
235717.6
50988.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4955203040607080904059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#14
20.20.5
20.820.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End6.0
blue by 6.2
26.40.3
25.025.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End9.7
Second
1997
#11
17.20.5
17.817.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End6.9
blue by 0.5
2357
#10
17.60.3
17.317.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End4.0
Third
3172
#20
7.40.5
8.27.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 1.0
5098
#23
8.40.3
8.18.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned