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Red41
198629.5
811211.0
51419.9
Blue59
180215.3
317917.2
171019.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60512040801004159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.3
31.730.4
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 10.0
19.50.7
17.718.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
8112
#21
11.01.3
12.311.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
blue by 6.2
17.20.7
16.717.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End9.7
Third
5141
#17
9.91.3
10.99.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End4.0
blue by 5.4
1802
#15
15.30.7
15.015.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsMissed