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Red45
182534.9
23456.2
70647.7
Blue64
495923.2
172310.9
19849.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564420801004564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.5
36.335.8
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
red by 11.7
23.20.7
22.222.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
Second
7064
#27
7.70.5
8.17.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 3.2
1723
#16
10.90.7
10.511.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
Third
2345
#29
6.20.5
6.96.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 3.4
1984
#19
9.60.7
9.810.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned