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Red44
72552.8
193922.8
198212.2
Blue42
176921.0
526815.3
68434.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394320305060704442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.5
22.322.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
red by 1.8
21.00.2
20.520.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
Second
1982
#22
12.20.5
12.212.7
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
blue by 3.1
5268
#30
15.30.2
15.115.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End6.3
Third
7255
#26
2.80.5
2.22.8
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End2.0
blue by 1.5
6843
#28
4.30.2
4.14.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed