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Red52
432930.4
49318.7
55837.8
Blue64
144415.5
87194.9
414336.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305402040801001201401605264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.4
18.219.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
blue by 6.1
36.50.8
28.429.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.1
End11.6
Second
4931
#26
8.72.3
7.19.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 6.7
15.51.4
9.711.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End7.1
Third
5583
#20
7.82.3
6.28.5
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End2.5
red by 2.9
8719
#32
4.91.4
9.410.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned