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Qual 122022 St. Louis Regional
Red33
29788.6
33977.9
24087.8
Blue32
132910.3
425626.8
639118.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275101001503332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2978
#12
8.60.8
10.5→9.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 18.3
4256
#11
26.81.0
24.1→23.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
Second
3397
#30
7.90.8
10.4→9.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.4
blue by 10.4
6391
#14
18.30.9
12.0→11.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
2408
#34
7.80.8
7.7→6.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 2.6
1329
#22
10.31.4
8.6→7.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsMissed